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Text File | 1993-06-22 | 79.5 KB | 2,008 lines

XXXXXX XX XX XXXXX XXXXXX XXXXX XXX XXX X XX X XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XXXX XXXX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XXXXXXX XX XX XXXXX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XXXX XX XX XXXXXXX XXXXXXX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XXXX XX XX XXXXX XXX XX XXXXX XX XX XX The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper User-Supported Version 4.4 (C)1993 by Leonard Hyre and Michael J. Himowitz Distributed by Federal Hill Software 3722 Greenway Lane P.O. Box 765 Owings Mills, MD 21117 410-356-5592 Toll Free Orders: 1-800-846-4319 Contents 1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1 System Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.2 What's New In Version 4.5 . . . . . . . . 1 1.3 About Shareware . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 1.3.1 The Enhanced Thoroughbred Handicapper 4.5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 1.3.2 The CUSTOM Handicapper . . . . . . . 3 1.3.3 The Right Handicapper for You? . . . 4 1.3.4 Ordering Your Program . . . . . . . . 4 1.4 Making Copies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 1.5 The Files on this Disk . . . . . . . . . 4 2 Installing the Program . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 2.1 Hard Disk Installation . . . . . . . . . . 5 2.2 Floppy Disk Installation . . . . . . . . . 6 3 Running the Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 3.1 From a Hard Disk . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 3.2 From a Floppy Disk . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 4 About Handicapping Systems . . . . . . . . . . 7 5 The LAST RACE Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 6 The Information You Need . . . . . . . . . . . 9 7 Handicapping Principles . . . . . . . . . . . 11 7.1 When to Bet on a Race . . . . . . . . . 12 7.2 Eliminate Bad Horses . . . . . . . . . 13 8 The Main Menu . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 9 The Handicapping Menu . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 10 Starting a New Race . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 10.1 Filling in the Race Form . . . . . . . 16 10.2 Race Information . . . . . . . . . . . 16 11 The Handicapping Form . . . . . . . . . . . 17 11.1 How to Fill Out the Handicapping Form . 18 11.2 Handicapping Form Information . . . . . 18 11.3 When You're Finished with the Form . . 21 11.3.1 The Rating Display . . . . . . . . 21 12 The Handicapping List . . . . . . . . . . . 22 12.1 What the Columns Mean . . . . . . . . 22 12.2 Using the Handicapping List . . . . . . 23 12.2.1 View/Update Entry . . . . . . . . 24 12.2.2 Delete Entry . . . . . . . . . . . 24 12.2.3 Return to Menu . . . . . . . . . . 25 12.3 What Do The Scores Mean? . . . . . . . 25 13 How to Bet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 13.1 Exotic Wagers . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 14 How to Register . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 14.1 Special Price Offer . . . . . . . . . . 26 i 15 The Registration Form . . . . . . . . . . . 27 15.1 Name and Address . . . . . . . . . . . 27 15.2 Type of Disk . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 15.3 Type of Payment . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 15.4 Card Number . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 15.5 Expiration Date . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 15.6 Program List . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 15.7 When You're Through . . . . . . . . . . 28 16 Federal Hill Software Catalog . . . . . . . 30 The Cambridge Greyhound Handicapper . . . . . 30 The Cambridge Harness Handicapper . . . . . . 30 Video BlakJak! . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Baseball Statpak 4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Registration and Order Form .....................32 ii The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper User-Supported Version 4.4 Copyright 1993 By Leonard Hyre and Michael J. Himowitz Distributed by Federal Hill Software 3722 Greenway Lane P.O. Box 765 Owings Mills, Md. 21117 410-356-5592 1 Introduction The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper is a powerful, sophisticated tool that will allow you to handicap thoroughbred races quickly and easily. It's not a magic, get-rich-quick scheme. But if you follow these instructions, impose some discipline and use the handicapper wisely, you should be able to improve your performance at the track and make money in the process. The Cambridge Handicapper is easy to use. Just fill in a simple, on-screen handicapping form for each horse. You can handicap up to 16 horses in a race, although you'll rarely find more than a half-dozen worth handicapping. When you're through, the program will assign scores to each horse. All the information you need is available in the Racing Form. With a little practice, you'll be able to handicap a race in a few minutes and a whole card in less than an hour. 1.1 System Requirements The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper will run on any IBM- compatible computer with 384K of memory and any IBM-compatible video display. The program can be run from a single 360K floppy drive. 1.2 What's New In Version 4.5 Version 4 contains several enhancements that will make your handicapping even easier and more accurate. If you're updating from earlier versions, the new features include: * Point-and-Shoot Updating. We've improved the user interface of the program to provide scrolling displays of and handicapping results and the ability to update or correct a horse's handicapping data at any time. You can add or delete a horse at any time, too. * Speed Rating, Track Variant and Gender. We've added speed rating, track variant and gender calculations. Because some users may prefer using our older calculations, we now provide two sets of ratings, one using speed rating and track variant, and one without. * Improved Formulas. First introduced in Thoroughbred 4.3, the improved formulas help weed out horses that perform well at shorter distances but may fade in longer races. Handicapping of longer races in general has been improved. 1.3 About Shareware The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper is distributed on a Shareware, or User-Supported basis. It's not free software. Under the shareware principle, users get a chance to try software before they buy it. If you like the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper and use it, you should register the program. The registration fee is $30. When you register your program, you'll get an ENHANCED Version with many additional features that will make your handicapping easier and more fun. You'll also have the option of ordering our Custom Handicapper, which allows you to modify our handicapping factors and scoring to create your own handicapping system. 1.3.1 The Enhanced Thoroughbred Handicapper 4.5 The ENHANCED Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4.5 includes these additional features: * Save/Recall. You can save any race to disk and recall it instantly to add, change or delete horses. This is great for correcting mistakes and dealing with late scratches, jockey switches and other changes. * Full Printed Reports. Get a detailed handicapping report for each horse, as well as a summary showing the ratings of each horse, layoff, estimated odds, distance changes and shipper status. * The WagerMaster. This popular utility will show you estimated payoffs of all combinations of Win, Place and Show Bets at a wide variety of odds, as well as key bets for Daily Doubles, Exactas and Trifectas. Combined with our handicapping formulas, it will help you make the right wagering decision. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 2 * Enhanced Manual. Handicapping horses is only half the battle. Knowing how the system works and how to handle your money can be just as important. Our Enhanced manual includes an eye-opening tutorial on parimutuel wagering, as well a system for managing your money to maximize your winnings and minimize your losses. 1.3.2 The CUSTOM Handicapper When you register, you can choose either Thoroughbred 4.5 for $30, or our new CUSTOM Handicapper, which allows you to put your knowledge and experience to work for you. The registration fee for the CUSTOM Handicapper is $75. Both programs start with same proven handicapping formulas, and out of the box, they'll give you exactly the same results. Both programs include our WagerMaster betting software and an enhanced manual. But the CUSTOM handicapper goes a step further. * You can modify the scoring of each of our handicapping factors. If you think we give too much weight to half-mile time, you can change it. If you think we give too little weight to post position, you can score post position any way you like. If your track runs races at a distance our system doesn't cover, you can set up your own distance and scoring tables. * Add handicapping factors of your own! After using our handicapper, you may decide that we forgot something important. You might want to incorporate a third-party score, such as Andy Beyer's ratings. You might want to add points for a horse running on Lasix for the first time. Or you may find that left-handed jockeys have an edge at your track. The CUSTOM handicapper allows you to add up to SIX factors of your own and score them any way you like. When you fill out the handicapping form for each horse, those factors will automatically appear on your screen! * You can tweak our handicapping system a bit to suit your track, or create a new system from scratch. And you don't have to be a rocket scientist to do it. Just fill out some simple, on-screen forms. Our manual takes you through the process step by step. * When you're through, you can save your handicapping system to disk. Create multiple systems for different tracks, conditions and seasons. And you can apply ANY handicapping system to ANY race you've stored on disk. That means you Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 3 can twiddle and tweak your handicapping system using races whose results you know -- without risking an additional penny at the track. 1.3.3 The Right Handicapper for You? Which is the right version for you? It's really a matter of personal style. If you go to the track occasionally and you're looking for a reliable, proven handicapping tool that will give you an edge without requiring you to spend three days in front of a calculator, Thoroughbred 4.5 will probably do just fine. With thousands of satisfied users, it's a tried-and-true system that will help make you a winner. If you're an experienced handicapper and have always wanted a program you could modify to suit your particular skills and approach, the CUSTOM Handicapper is for you. We know of no other handicapping program on the market that offers this much flexibility at this price -- or at any price! 1.3.4 Ordering Your Program We've made it as easy as possible to register your program. You can fill in an on-screen registration form and send it to your printer, or fill in the form at the back of this manual. We've also included a catalog of our fine programs, and you can order any or all of them. If you order more than one program, pay the full price for the first program and take $10 off the price of each additional program. 1.4 Making Copies You should use your original Thoroughbred Handicapper disk only once: to make one or more working copies. Then put the original away in a safe, dry place. All versions of The Cambridge Handicappers are copyrighted by the authors and remain their intellectual property, protected by U.S. and international copyright laws. 1.5 The Files on this Disk The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper is composed of the following files. The files marked with asterisks must be on the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 4 disk or the hard disk directory from which the program is launched. They are as follows: T44.BAT* The batch file that starts the program. NTHO44S.EXE* The handicapper program. THREG.EXE* The registration form. T44S.PAK* The screen files used by the program. SPEEDSCR.COM* A memory resident screen driver. THORO44.DOC Instructions for the use of the program. CAP.CFG* Configuration file for monitor PRINTME.BAT Batch file to print manual. HINSTALL.BAT Batch file to install on hard disk. FINSTALL.BAT Batch file to install on floppy disk. README.COM File containing last-minute instructions. If you want to install the program manually, just copy the marked files to a floppy disk, or to a hard disk directory you've set up for the program. Or, you can use our automatic installation programs (see next section). 2 Installing the Program Before you do anything else, make a copy of the handicapper disk you received and work from the copy. Put the original away in a safe place. You can copy the disk by using the DOS DISKCOPY command or by copying the files individually to a formatted disk. 2.1 Hard Disk Installation To install the program on a hard disk, do the following: 1. Put your handicapper disk in Drive A. 2. Type A: and hit ENTER. 3. Type HINSTALL DRIVE: and hit ENTER, where DRIVE: is the letter standing for the hard drive on which you're installing the program. For example, to install the program on Drive C, you'd type HINSTALL C: and hit ENTER. 4. The installation program will create a directory called \T44 on your hard disk and copy all the files to that directory. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 5 2.2 Floppy Disk Installation To install the program on a floppy disk, you must first format a blank floppy disk. You can include the operating system if you want to use your handicapper disk as a startup disk. These instructions assume you have two disk drives. 1. Put your handicapper in Drive A. 2. Put the blank, formatted disk in Drive B. 3. Type HINSTALL B: and hit ENTER. 4. The installation program will copy everything EXCEPT the instruction manual to the disk in Drive B. If you're installing the program from Drive B to a disk in Drive A, just reverse the A and B designations in the directions above. 3 Running the Program To run The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper, do the following: 3.1 From a Hard Disk The following instructions assume that you've installed the program on your hard disk in a Directory called \T44. 1. Type CD\T44 and hit ENTER. 2. Type T44 and hit ENTER. 3.2 From a Floppy Disk 1. Switch to the drive containing the Handicapper Disk. 2. Type T44 and hit ENTER. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO LAUNCH NTHO44S.EXE directly. Use the T44.BAT file to do it. Here's why: T44.BAT first loads SPEEDSCR.COM, a memory resident program which manages the screens used by the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper. Without SPEEDSCR, the program will not work. The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 6 T44.BAT file also removes SPEEDSCR from memory when you terminate the handicapper program. While SPEEDSCR probably won't cause difficulties if left in memory after you exit from the handicapper, it can, under some circumstances, produce some unusual if harmless results. So always start the program by typing T44 and hitting the ENTER key. When you type T44 and hit ENTER, your disk drive will whir for a few seconds. At this point, you'll see a title screen and a message telling you to hit any key to continue. Strike any key and you'll see the MAIN MENU. Initially the display will be set for a monochrome screen. You can change from monochrome to color at any time. Before you start handicapping, however, please read the following sections that describe handicapping systems and the information you'll need to use the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4.4 4 About Handicapping Systems A handicapping system does two things. 1. It attempts to predict a horse's performance in an upcoming race by analyzing past performances in a consistent, scientific manner. 2. It provides you with a strategy for betting on races given the outcome of your handicapping analysis. As strange as it sounds, the true purpose of a handicapping system is not to pick winners. The purpose of a handicapping system is to give you a tool that will help you make money at the track. Knowing how and when to bet is just as important as analyzing the horses. There are as many handicapping systems as there are people handicapping. Some are quite good, others are worthless. Some require hours or days of effort, some require only a few minutes of preparation. You don't really need a computer to handicap a race. There are plenty of manual handicapping systems around, and some are excellent. Unfortunately, they're often tedious and time- consuming. A computer handicapping system takes the handicapper's knowledge, sets up handicapping tables and rules internally, and then makes calculations instantly. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 7 We designed the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper to provide a blend of sophistication and ease of use for the race fan who enjoys the sport but doesn't have hours and hours to devote to handicapping. If you've never tried to handicap a race before, you'll find this quite easy to use. If you're an experienced handicapper, the information the system requires you to collect will be just as useful as the ratings themselves. The program will sharpen your own thinking and handicapping analysis. 5 The LAST RACE Theory The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper relies heavily on information from a horse's LAST RACE on a fast or sloppy track. Now you may ask, "Why only one race? Wouldn't it be better to average performances over half a dozen races, or a whole year?" The answer is no. It's a fact that a horse's performance today is most likely to mirror his performance last time out. Remember, a handicapper is interested in how a horse is going to perform RIGHT NOW, not how the horse performed a month or two ago. The horse that ran six weeks ago may have been in much better or worse shape than he is today. It's much like using a baseball player's batting average to decide whether to bet on whether he'll get a hit next time up. A player can start out the season hitting .500 but tail off over time. He may be batting .187 over the last three three weeks and be in the middle of a 0-for-23 slump, but he'll still have a .350 average for the season. If you were going to bet on whether he hits, would you look at his season average, or how well he's been doing lately? The answer is obvious. What's important is how likely he is to hit the ball tonight. Although the analogy isn't perfect because a horse only runs once a week, the same principle applies. While it is possible to develop a handicapping system that uses an average of past performances, our research shows that such systems at best yield only marginally better results than a "last race" system. Sometimes they're downright misleading. And they take so long and require so much data that most people are unwilling or unable to spend the time necessary to make them work. The disadvantage of a "last race" system is that it may downgrade a good horse who happened to post a bad performance last time, or upgrade a horse who ran way over his head last time out. But this doesn't happen very often. And the advantages of a Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 8 "last race" system--speed and ease of use--mean you'll be able to do more handicapping and have a better chance of making money over the long run. 6 The Information You Need To use The Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper, you must be familiar with the information available to you in The Racing Form. The Form is available on most newsstands on the day of a race and usually the day before. In addition, you'll want to consult the track program or your local newspaper for information on last-minute scratches or jockey changes that occurred after the Racing Form went to press. The Racing Form contains three different pieces of information you'll need. * A summary of each race, showing the horse's name, post position and jockey. * The "condition line," a table of of information about the past performances of each horse in a race. We've included a sample condition line pointing out exactly what pieces of information you'll need. * A list of the "Top 10" or leading jockeys at each track. Here is the information you'll need about each horse: 1. The horse's post position. This is usually available in the summary listings for each track at the beginning of that day's card in The Racing Form. Sometimes, however, these are not accurate because of late scratches, and the best source is the morning line from your local newspaper. 2. The jockey's name. This is usually in the summary listing for each race, too. But sometimes no jockey has been assigned by the Racing Form's press time and the entry will say "No Rider." In this case, consult your local paper or the race track program. 3. The jockey's record. We're interested in whether a jockey wins 10 percent or more of his races. If you look at the "Top 10" jockeys for each track in the Racing Form, you'll usually find all the 10 percent winners. If you're not Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 9 sure, consult a recent race track program or inquire at the track itself. 4. The date of the horse's last race on a fast ("ft") or sloppy ("sy") track. We will use sloppy tracks for rating purposes, since they don't seem to affect horses' times, but it's not a good idea to bet on races being run on a sloppy track. 5. The purses and/or claiming prices for the horse's previous races. This is necessary to determine whether the horse is moving up or down in class. 6. The distance of this race and the horse's last race on a fast or sloppy track. 7. The leader's time at the half-mile point of the horse's last race on a fast or sloppy track. If the horse's last race was on a slower track ("good" or "muddy"), go back and find the last performance on a fast or sloppy track. 8. The final time of the winner of the horse's last race on a fast or sloppy track. 9. The speed rating for the horse's last race on a fast or sloppy track. The speed rating is a calculation made by the Racing Form indicating how fast the horse ran compared to the track record at that distance prior to the current meeting. A speed rating below 100 indicates the horse ran slower than the track record. A rating above 100 means the horse ran faster than the previous meeting's track record. This factor is particularly useful in trying to handicap races with shippers. 10. The track variant for the horse's last race on a fast or sloppy track. The track variant is an attempt to determine how all the horses were running on the day of that race. This reflects on the quality of the competition and/or the track condition. A lower track variant means better competition and/or a faster track. This factor, conjunction with the speed rating, is useful in trying to handicap races with shippers. 11. The number of lengths behind the winner the horse finished in his last race on a fast or sloppy track. If the horse won last time out, this number will, of course, be zero. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 10 12. Was the horse a beaten favorite? This determines whether the horse was the favorite last time out on a fast or sloppy track and whether or not he won the race. If the horse was the favorite, an asterisk (*) will appear next to the dollar odds on the horse in the line containing the information for the horse's last race. This is important because a favorite who was beaten last time out will often win this time around. 13. The weight the horse will carry this time out and the weight he carried last time out on a fast or sloppy track. 14. IS THE HORSE A SHIPPER? A shipper is a horse running at this track for the first time during a meet. You can tell by looking at the track on which the horse's last race was run. If it was a different track, then the horse is a shipper. 15. CLASS--This is the hardest factor to determine. It is important to know whether a horse is racing today against tougher, easier or the same level of horses he raced against last time. Here are basic guidelines: * Generally, if the purse or claiming price of the horses in this race is higher than the purse or claiming price of the horse's last race, the horse is moving UP in class. That means he's running against tougher competition than he did last time. * If a horse is racing for a lower purse or in a race with a lower claiming price than his last race, the horse is moving DOWN in class. That means he's running against easier competition than he did last time. * If the purse or claiming price is about the same (a few hundred dollars doesn't matter) in this race as it was for the horse's last race, then he's staying in the SAME class. 7 Handicapping Principles A computer can help you with handicapping calculations, but there's no substitute for a little human judgment in the process. The key to handicapping is knowing which races to bet (not every Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 11 race can be properly handicapped) and which horses to eliminate from contention before you start handicapping. 7.1 When to Bet on a Race For any handicapping system to work, there must be a good probability that the past performances of the horses involved will be reflected in their performance in the race you're handicapping. Unfortunately, this isn't the case in every race. At the very best tracks, almost every non-maiden race may be handicappable. At tracks with horses of lower caliber, you may only find five or six races on a card that lend themselves to analysis. Here are the guidelines we use: 1. Don't bother going to the track and using this program if the track condition is not "fast." An off track--good, muddy, or sloppy--should be avoided. There's a good reason for this. Horses usually run on fast tracks. They train on fast tracks. While some horses may be good "mudders," there's no real way of knowing how they'll respond to bad track conditions. Some horses may love soft footing, others may hate it. The problem is that there's no way to tell for sure. So stay away from off tracks. If you do go to the races on an off day, stick with the $2 window and save your money for a better day. 2. DON'T BET ON MAIDEN RACES. These are unproven or just plain bad horses, and most handicapping techniques are useless. 3. Don't bet on races featuring the cheapest horses on the grounds. These are old, bad or tired horses who are unpredictable. They may run well one week and terribly the next. If you can't count on a horse's past performance to predict his performance today, you can't handicap the horse. These horses usually show up in the first and last races of a card, particularly at tracks where the overall quality of horses is not high. At the very best tracks, this rule may not apply, since even the cheapest horses at the best California tracks could be feature race material at smaller tracks. 4. Don't bet on races with a high proportion of "shippers." A shipper is a horse running at a track for the first time. You have no way of knowing how a horse will respond to a new surface. If you run across a race in which a shipper looks like a real contender, our advice is to pass it up. This takes some discipline, but you'll be better off for Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 12 it. Also, any race with three or more shippers is probably a bad bet. We realize that this will eliminate many stakes races with high purses. While these are fun to watch, they're not usually good handicapping propositions. You can take consolation in the fact that the other races on the same card with a high-purse stakes race are likely to be good ones. 7.2 Eliminate Bad Horses Once you have decided whether to bet a race, you can easily eliminate certain horses from contention. These will usually be eliminated by the computer, but occasionally a really bad horse will score highly. Take a few seconds to eliminate these first and the system will work much better. Only at the very best tracks will you have to handicap more than a half-dozen horses in a race. 1. Eliminate any horse that has not raced in the last three weeks. You have no way of knowing why this horse has been on vacation, but if an animal is running well, the trainer will race him regularly. Time off is usually a bad sign. This may not apply to the absolutely best-quality stakes horses, who race less frequently, but stakes races are bad bets anyway. 2. Eliminate any horse that did not show a strong performance last time out. By this we mean a win, place or show, a strong run on the leader in the stretch, or setting the early pace as the leader in fairly quick time. If a horse showed none of these, forget him. 3. Eliminate "shippers." These are horses running at a track for the first time. Once again, this may not be possible in big stakes races, but we think these are difficult to handicap anyway and should be avoided. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 13 8 The Main Menu When you run the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper, you'll see a menu with four choices. It looks like this: THE MAIN HANDICAPPER MENU User ARROWS to Select. Hit ENTER to Choose 1 Handicap a Race 2 Set Monitor Type 3 Registration Form 4 The Enhanced Handicapper 5 The CUSTOM Handicapper 6 Quit the Program Current Race: None Number of Horses: 0 To select any choice, use your UP and DOWN cursor keys to highlight the choice you want and hit ENTER or just type the number opposite that choice. At the bottom of the screen you'll see four status lines. The example above shows you the status when you first run the program. The status lines show you the race you're currently handicapping and the number of horses you've entered so far in this race. Here's a summary of the menu choices and what they do: 1. Handicap a Race. This takes you to the Handicapping Menu, from which you'll enter, view, update and store your handicapping information. 2. Set Monitor Type. When you select this, a box will pop up asking if you have a color monitor. Type "Y" if you have a color monitor. Type "N" if you have a monochrome screen or you're using a laptop computer. The program will switch to a color or monochrome display (depending on what you've chosen) and store the setting in the CAP.CFG file. 3. Registration Form. This will display an on-line registration form. Just fill in your ordering information and the form will be sent to your printer, ready to mail. It's quick and easy. For details, see Page 26. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 14 4. The Enhanced Handicapper. This choice will pop up a screen displaying details about the Enhanced Thoroughbred Handicapper you'll receive when you register. When the information screen is displayed, hit ESC to return to the Main Menu. 5. The CUSTOM Handicapper. This choice will pop up a screen displaying details about the Cambridge CUSTOM Handicapper you'll receive if you select it from the registration form. When the information screen is displayed, hit ESC to return to the Main Menu. 6. Quit the Program. This will terminate the Thoroughbred Handicapper and return you to your DOS prompt. 9 The Handicapping Menu When you select Choice No. 1 from the Main Menu, you'll see the Handicapping Menu Displayed. It looks like this: HANDICAPPING MENU Use ARROWS to Select. Hit ENTER to Choose 1 Start a New Race 2 Add a Horse 3 View/Update Entries 4 Main Menu To select any choice, use your UP and DOWN cursor keys to highlight the choice you want and hit ENTER or just type the number opposite that choice. Here's what the choices will do: 1. Start a New Race. This will allow you to begin handicapping a new race. You'll be asked to enter the name of the track, the date, the race number and an optional comment. 2. Add a Horse. This will allow you to add a horse to the current race. 3. View/Update Entries. This will produce a scrolling display of your handicapping results. You can choose any horse, modify the data or delete the horse's entry. 4. Main Menu. This will return you to the Main Menu. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 15 10 Starting a New Race When you choose No 1. from the Handicapping Menu, you'll be presented with a Race form asking for information about the race. The form will have blank, highlighted fields for the information the program requires. Like all input required by the Cambridge Handicapper, all that's required is that you fill in the blanks. Here's a sample form: NAME OF TRACK: SANTA ANITA DATE OF RACE: 06/28/91 RACE NO. 2 COMMENTS: $20,000 PURSE 10.1 Filling in the Race Form Type the information required in each field. When you're through entering information in any field, just press the ENTER key to go onto the next field. You can correct information in any field by using the right and left cursor keys and typing over the previously entered information. The BACKSPACE key will move the cursor one character to the left without deleting. To delete material, use the DEL key. You can move backwards and forwards from field to field throughout the form by using the UP and DOWN cursor keys. When you reach the bottom field, the DOWN cursor key will cycle you back to the first field. Some fields in the form are checked for errors. If you have typed inappropriate information in a field, the program will return your cursor to the field with the bad information and display an error message at the bottom of the screen telling you what the problem is. When you have finished entering all the information, you can exit from the Race Information Form by hitting the ESC key. 10.2 Race Information Here are the items you'll need for the race information form: 1. NAME OF TRACK: Type the name of the track on which the race is being run and hit ENTER. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 16 2. DATE OF RACE: Fill in the date of the race you're handicapping. This is important for determining how long a layoff each horse has had. Just type the numbers in MMDDYY form. The program will automatically insert the slashes. The default date is 10/01/90. 3. RACE NO. Type the number of the race and hit ENTER. 4. COMMENTS: Type in any identifying remarks you want here. This field is optional. The comments will be printed at the top of your race reports. When you're through entering the race information, hit the ESC key. You'll be asked if the information is correct. * If it is correct, type "Y" and you'll go onto the handicapping form for the first horse. * If there's a mistake in the information, type "N" and you'll be returned to the Race Information Form. Once you've confirmed the data in the Race Information Form, you'll be asked if you want to begin handicapping this race. * If you do, type "Y" and the handicapping form will appear. * If you want to quit at this point, type "N" and you'll return to the HANDICAPPING MENU. The program will assume that you do not want to handicap this race and the Menu status line will show "No Race Selected." 11 The Handicapping Form The Handicapping Form is the key to the program. You'll fill in a handicapping form for each horse in the race. The form asks for basic information available in the track program. If you're entering a new horse, most of the fields in the form will be blank. If you're updating or correcting information in an existing entry, the fields will be filled in with the most recent information you've entered. You can change any field you want. To make things go faster, it's a good idea to familiarize yourself with the information the handicapping form requires. Sit down with your Racing Form ahead of time and underline or highlight the items the form requires. It only takes a couple of Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 17 minutes, and our experience shows that you'll be able to fill out handicapping forms more quickly and accurately this way. 11.1 How to Fill Out the Handicapping Form Here are general instructions for filling out the handicapping form: * Type the information required in each field. When you're through entering information in any field, just press the ENTER key to go onto the next field. Some fields require single keystroke entries (Such as a "Y" for yes or "N" for no). In this case, just typing the appropriate letter will send you to the next field. * You can correct information in any field by using the right and left cursor keys and typing over the previously entered information. The BACKSPACE key will move the cursor one character to the left without deleting. To delete material, use the DEL key. * You can move backwards and forwards from field to field throughout the form by using the UP and DOWN cursor keys. When you reach the bottom field, the DOWN cursor key will cycle you back to the first field. * Most fields in the form are checked for errors. If you have typed inappropriate information in a field, the program will return your cursor to the field with the bad information and display an error message at the bottom of the screen telling you what the problem is. * As you go from field to field, the program will display a "Help" message in the box at the lower left hand side of the form telling you exactly what information is required for that field. * When you have finished entering all the information in a form, you can exit from the form and get your handicapping calculations by hitting the <ESC> key. 11.2 Handicapping Form Information Here's the information the handicapping form requires. If you're updating from an earlier version of the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper, note that the form is slightly different from the old version. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 18 1. Horse No. and Name: Type the horse's betting number, followed by a space and his name. Then hit ENTER. 2. Distance Last Race: Look at the help area of the screen. You will see the following table of distances displayed. 1> 4-1/2 FUR 4> 6 FUR 7> 1 mi 10> 1-1/8 mi 2> 5 FUR 5> 6-1/2 FUR 8> 1 mi 70 11> 1-1/4 mi 3> 5-1/2 FUR 6> 7 FUR 9> 1-1/16 m 12> 1-1/2 mi Note that each distance is numbered. Type the number opposite the distance of the horse's last race on a fast or sloppy track. For example, if the last race was one mile, type "7", which is the number opposite the one-mile distance in the table displayed in the help area. 3. Distance This Race: Look at the help area of the screen. You will see a table of distances displayed. Each distance is numbered. Type the number opposite the distance of this race. For example, if the distance of this race is one mile, type "7", which is the number opposite the one-mile distance in the table displayed in the help area. Hit ENTER when you're through. 4. Speed rating: This is the first of two numbers, separated by a hyphen, located just to the left of the order of finish in the condition line. Type the speed rating and hit ENTER. 5. Track variant: This is the second of two numbers, separated by a hyphen, located just to the left of the order of finish in the condition line. Type the track variant and hit ENTER. 6. 1/2-Mile: This is the leader's time at the 1/2-mile point of the horse's last race on a fast or sloppy track. BE CAREFUL HERE. In some listings of shorter races, quarter- mile times are included as well as half-mile times. Generally the half-mile time will be in the 40-50 second range. Type the number in seconds and fifths of seconds. There is no need to type a colon. The program takes care of that. For example, if the half-mile time of the horse's last race was 48:2, all you have to type is 482. 7. Final: This is the winner's final time in the horse's last outing on a fast or sloppy track. Once again, there is no need to type a colon. If the final time of the last race Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 19 was 1:48:2, all you have to type is 1482. The program will format the time properly. 8. Sex: The sex of the horse. Type "M" for a male or gelding. Type "F" for a filly or mare. Normally, the program gives a slight point advantage to males. However, if you do not want to use sex ratings, you may also type "N" for none. If you enter "N" for any horse in a race, the sex calculation will be eliminated for all horses in that race. 9. Winner last time? (Y/N): If the horse won last time out, type "Y". If the horse was not the winner, type "N". 10. Lengths behind winner: If the horse did not win, type the number of lengths behind the winner he finished. This is available in the portion of the listing showing the horse's position at various points in the race. It will appear as a superscript number next to the horse's position as he crossed the finish line. Fractional lengths should be rounded up to the nearest whole number. If the horse won last time out, type "0" and hit the return key. NOTE: The program will check for consistency between the "Winner last time" and "lengths Behind" fields. If you indicate that the horse won but also enter a number larger than zero in the "Lengths behind" field, the program will display an error message and return the cursor to the "Winner Last Time" field. 11. Jockey Weight: There are two blanks here. In the first, type the weight the horse carried LAST time out on a fast or sloppy track and hit ENTER. In the second field, enter the weight the horse will carry in THIS race and hit ENTER. 12. Jockey Record: There are also two blanks here. If the jockey in the horse's LAST race has won 10% or more of his races, type a "Y" in the "Last race" field. If the jockey in THIS race has won 10% or more of his races, type a "Y" in the field labeled "This race." 13. Post position today: Type the number of the horse's post position in today's race and hit ENTER. 14. Beaten favorite last time?: If the horse was the favorite last time out on a fast or sloppy track but did NOT win the race, type "Y" here. You can tell if a horse was the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 20 favorite because there will usually be an asterisk (*) next to the column showing the dollar odds on the horse for that race. 15. Class: If a horse is moving up, type "U" in this blank. If the horse is moving down, type "D". If the horse is staying in the same class, type "S". For guidelines to determine whether the horse is moving up or down in class, see the discussion of CLASS in the section titled "Where to get the Information You need." 16. LAST RACE: Enter the date of the horse's last race in MMDDYY form. 17. SHIPPER? If the horse is running at this track for the first time, type "Y". Otherwise, type "N". 11.3 When You're Finished with the Form When you're through entering the data for a horse, hit the <ESC> key. The program will ask, "Are you through handicapping this horse?" If you are through, type "Y"; if not, type "N" and you'll be returned to the form. Now the program will ask, "Is this information correct? (Y/N)." If the information is correct, type "Y"; otherwise type "N" and you'll be returned to the form. 11.3.1 The Rating Display In the Help Window at the bottom of the form, the horse's rating will now be displayed. It will look something like this: The Rating of This Horse is 118-116. You'll notice that the horse has TWO rating numbers. * The first rating number is the rating WITH SPEED RATING and TRACK VARIANT calculations included. * The second rating number is the rating WITHOUT SPEED RATING AND TRACK VARIANT. If you're updating an existing horse's entry, you'll see a message that says, "Hit Any Key to Continue." Strike a key and you'll return to your list of horses. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 21 If you're entering a new horse, the program will ask, "Add this horse to list? (Y/N)." If you want to add the horse to the list of horses in this race, type "Y." If you don't want the horse added to the list, type "N". You will now be asked if you want to handicap another horse. If you do, type "Y" and a fresh handicapping form will be displayed. If you're finished handicapping, type "N" and you'll see your list of horses displayed. 12 The Handicapping List The handicapping list will show the ratings for all the horse's you've entered so far in this race. They will be ranked in order from highest (most likely to win) to lowest (least likely to win). When the list is displayed, you can print it out or select any entry for printing, updating or deletion. Here's a sample list: Horse Rankings for PIMLICO 07/04/91 No. 2 ----------------------------------------------------------- RATINGS ODDS PP LAY CL SH BF DIS ------------------------------------------------------------ >2 BENNYBEAR 219-186 7-5 2 7 D N N 9 BAG O BONES 215-182 5-2 9 33* D N Y 3 WHIRLAWAY 195-172 3-1 3 7 S N N * 5 MIKE 151-118 4-1 5 10 S Y N 1 GOFORBROKE 150-114 5-1 1 10 S N N ------------------------------------------------------------ Use Cursor, PgUP, PgDn, Home and End to Move Highlight. Hit ENTER to Select Horse. Hit ESC for Handicapping Menu. 12.1 What the Columns Mean At the top of the list you'll see the date of the race, the Race Number and the Track. Here's what the display columns show: RATING These are the two scores the handicapper assigns to each horse. The first score includes the track variant and speed rating. The second does not include these factors. See the explanation on Page 14. ODDS This is our calculation of the scores expressed as odds. THIS WILL NOT NECESSARILY AGREE WITH THE Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 22 OPENING ODDS AT YOUR TRACK. Opening odds are calculated by your track's racing secretary or resident handicapper. Each track has a different method for doing this. Our formula takes the highest ranked horse and makes him 7-5 if he's way ahead or 9-5 or 2-1 if the next horse is closer. The odds go up from there, depending on the relative scores of the horses. 10-1 is the maximum. Once again, these odds are only another way of expressing the horse's score. The SCORE is the important factor for handicapping. PP The horse's Post Position. LAY Layoff: the number of days between this race and the horse's last outing. CL This is the class factor. It shows whether the horse is moving (U)p, (D)own or staying in the (S)ame class. SH The letter "Y" in this field indicates that the horse is a shipper, running at the track for the first time. BF Beaten Favorite: The letter "Y" here means the horse was a beaten favorite in his last outing. DIS This shows the relative change in distance between the horse's last race and this race. When you handicap a horse, you'll notice that there are 12 numbered distances listed, ranging from 1 (4-1/2 furlongs) to 12 (1-1/2 miles). This number represents the difference between the two distances. A negative number means the horse is running at a shorter race than he did last time. A positive number means he's running a longer race. Be careful of horses who jump more than two or three notches on this scale. Horses that jump more than two distance classes will be marked with an asterisk (*). 12.2 Using the Handicapping List When the list appears, you'll notice that the first horse is highlighted (We've indicated this with a ">" sign in the manual). Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 23 * You can move through the list by using your Up and Down Cursor keys, the PgUp and PgDown keys. * You can print the list by hitting SHIFT-Print Screen (Our Enhanced handicapper has full printed report functions). * You can return to the Handicapping Menu by hitting the ESC key. * To update any horse's entry, delete the horse, or print out the horse's handicapping data, highlight the horse you want and hit ENTER. The following Menu will appear (Let's say we picked BENNYBEAR from the list above): ============================ No. 2 BENYBEAR ============================ > View/Update Entry Delete Entry Return to Menu ============================ The first item on the menu (View/Update Entry) will be highlighted. You can move the highlight bar through the menu by using your Up and Down Cursor keys. Highlight the function you want and hit ENTER. Or hit ESC to return to the Handicapping List. Here's what the menu choices will do: 12.2.1 View/Update Entry This will bring the handicapping form for the horse you selected to the screen. The fields will be filled in with the information you entered previously. You can change any information you want. For information on filling out the Handicapping Form, See Page 17. 12.2.2 Delete Entry This will delete the highlighted horse from the list. You'll be asked if you want to delete the horse you selected. If you do, type "Y" and the horse will be deleted. If you don't want to delete the horse, type "N" and you'll return to the handicapping list. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 24 12.2.3 Return to Menu This selection will return you to the Handicapping Menu. 12.3 What Do The Scores Mean? You'll notice that the horses are ranked from highest to lowest by their handicapping rating. THE HIGHER A HORSE'S SCORE COMPARED TO THE OTHERS IN THE RACE, THE MORE LIKELY THAT HORSE IS TO WIN THE RACE. In the example above, the handicapper indicates that BENNYBEAR is most likely to win the race, although BAG O BONES is quite close. 13 How to Bet OUR RECOMMENDATION IS TO BET THE HIGHEST RATED HORSE (the one with the highest score) TO WIN AND PLACE. This is the safest wager and the one most likely to put money in your pocket over the long run. As usual, there are exceptions to this rule. For example, in the race above, suppose BENNYBEAR is going off at less than even money, but BAG O BONES is going off at 4-1. You're not going to make much if you bet on BENNYBEAR, but BAG O BONES is so close in the scoring that he becomes a better bet. IF THE TOP TWO HORSES ARE ONLY A FEW POINTS APART AND THE SECOND-RATED HORSE IS GOING OFF AT MUCH BETTER ODDS, YOU MAY WANT TO BET THE SECOND-RANKED HORSE. This is one of the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper's major strengths. Because it rates horses without regard to local betting habits or prejudices, it will often spot undervalued horses that make sound wagers. Finally, at some tracks our customers have reported better results by betting both the first and second-rated horses to win. This is particularly true if the handicapper ranks them closely, neither is a strong favorite and the odds on both are relatively good. Determining how all of this works at your track takes some trial and error. Before you plunk down your money for the first time, handicap a couple of cards and see how the program works at your track. Wagering patterns vary greatly from locality to locality. Knowing when and how to bet is just as important as Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 25 selecting the right horse. It can make the difference between winning and losing money at the track. 13.1 Exotic Wagers You'll notice we haven't mentioned exotic wagers, such as exactas, perfectas, triples, trifectas and Pick Sixes. That's because we don't believe in them as a sound wagering strategy. Without going into long explanations, just remember that it's tough enough to pick a winner in a race, let alone a winner and two particular losers. Tracks make a lot of their money from exotic wagers because the return to the bettors is much lower than it is on straight bets. We can virtually guarantee that you'll lose money on any strategy that involves exotic bets. Stay away from them. That's all you really need to know to get started. Obviously, familiarity with your track conditions will help. But even if you're new to horse racing, the Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper will make race analysis easier and more accurate. Remember that the most important factor in any handicapping system is discipline and consistency. If you choose your races wisely, apply the rules we've laid down and overcome the fan's natural tendency to put down money on every contest, you'll be able to turn a profit on your hobby. 14 How to Register You can register your handicapper and order any Federal Hill Software program in two ways. You can use the on-line Registration From when the program is running, or fill in the order form at the end of this manual. 14.1 Special Price Offer Federal Hill Software offers special price discounts for customers who order more than one program. Register any program at the regular price and you'll get $10 off the cost of each additional program you offer. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 26 15 The Registration Form You can register your program quickly and easily using the on-line registration form. This is Choice No. 3 on the Main Menu. Your disk drive will turn for a second and the registration form will appear. The form is divided into two parts. The left side contains blanks for name, address, disk type and payment information. The right side contains a list of Federal Hill Software Programs. At the bottom of the screen is a message area that will guide you through the process and warn you if you've made a mistake. * To fill in any blank, type the information in that field and hit ENTER to move to the next field. If the field requires only a single character, typing a character will move the cursor to the next field. When you finish with the last blank field, the cursor will automatically recycle to the first. * You can move up and down, from field to field, by using the UP and DOWN arrow keys. * When you're finished with the form, hit the ESC key. 15.1 Name and Address Type your name, address, city, state and ZIP code in each field and hit ENTER to move to the next field. In the COUNTRY field, USA is already filled in. If you're ordering from another country, just type over it with the name of the country from which you're ordering. 15.2 Type of Disk Type an "X" in the box next to the size disk you want, 5.25 inch or 3.5 inch. 15.3 Type of Payment We accept checks and money orders, Visa or MasterCard payment. Put an "X" in the box next to the type of payment you're using. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 27 15.4 Card Number If you're paying by credit card, type the card number in the appropriate field and hit ENTER. If you're not paying by credit card, leave this field blank and hit ENTER. 15.5 Expiration Date If you're paying by credit card, type the expiration date in this field in MD/YY format. For example, if your card expires in April, 1993, type 0493. The program will automatically insert the slash. If you're not paying by credit card, leave the field blank and hit ENTER. 15.6 Program List Your cursor will move to the Federal Hill Software Program list. Type an "X" in the box next to the name of each program you want to order. 15.7 When You're Through When you're through with the form, hit the ESC key. 1. The program will automatically calculate your registration fee (Including discounts for additional programs) and display it on the screen. 2. A message will appear asking if the information is correct. a. If it is correct, type "Y" to move to the next step. b. If the information is not correct, type "N" and you'll be asked if you want to fix it. * If you want to fix it, type "Y" and you'll be returned to the Registration Form. * If you don't want to fix it, type "N" and you'll be returned to the handicapper. 3. You will now be asked if you want to print the form. If you do, type "Y" and make sure your printer is on line. Once the form has been printed, you'll have the option of making additional copies for your records. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 28 4. When you're finished printing, you'll be asked if you want to exit from the registration form. Type "Y" to return to the handicapper or "N" to return to the form. Send your registration form and payment to Federal Hill Software, 3722 Greenway Lane, P.O. Box 765, Owings Mills, MD 21117. The registration fee includes shipping to any point in the United States or its territories and Canada. Foreign orders must be payable in U.S. funds. If you're paying by credit card, be sure to include your signature in the blank on the printed form. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 29 16 Federal Hill Software Catalog Federal Hill Software has been publishing fine application software since 1983. We concentrate on develping programs that do one thing very well, and we have thousands of satisfied customers. Here's a description of additional offerings. You can order any of these programs from the on-screen registration form, or the printed form at the end of this manual. The Cambridge Greyhound Handicapper Greyhound Racing is growing by leaps and bounds! The latest release of our Greyhound Handicapper adds weight and sex calculations, plus point and shoot updating, full reports, our Wagermaster, and save-to-disk options. Handicapping factors include speed, class movement, speed at turn, box position, inside-outside tendencies, beaten favorite and kennel ranking. Requires 384K of memory and will run from a floppy disk. Registration fee: $30. The Cambridge Harness Handicapper Harness handicapping may well be the trickiest form of race analysis, because so many factors come into play. But we've figured out what's important and what's not. The result: a Harness Handicapping program that's sophisticated AND easy to use. Factors include half-mile and final times, post position, stretch gain, parked-out signes, driver record and class movement. Requires 384K of memory and will run from a floppy disk. Registration fee: $30. Video BlakJak! More than just a game. Learn how to play Blackjack and win--the fun way. This full casino simulation puts you heads up against the dealer with an entertaining and informative set of tools to help you learn the game. Practice basic and advanced card- counting strategies and test them out -- or just have fun! Vary the rules to match any casino. On-screen help shows you the right play and vital statistics at the poress of a key. Our unique Strategy Construction Kit lets you build your own card-counting system and test it out over thousands of hands -- automatically, without risking a penny at the tables. Our instruction manual contains the results of our research and will definitely surprise you. Requires 384K of memory and will run from a floppy disk. Registration fee: $30. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 30 Baseball Statpak 4 Brand new version of this favorite brings big-time statistical power to your Little League, high school team or softball league. Track up to 250 players on 12 teams. Records At Bats, Hits, Runs Scored, RBI's, Batting Average, Slugging Pct., On-Base Pct., Doubles, Triples, HR, Total Bases, Walks, Stolen Bases, Strikeouts and Errors. Sort by any stat in ascending or descending order. Teriffic team and league reports. Unique player rating system makes drafting a snap. League management tools include full rosters, team reports and mailing labels for players or coaches. Requires 384K of memory and will run from a single floppy. Registration fee: $30. Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 31 Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper Registration Form ================================================================= Yes, I want to register my Cambridge Handicapper! Please send the Enhanced Version of the program right away! ================================================================= Name: _______________________________________________ Address: ______________________________________________ City: _______________________ State ______ Zip _______ Please send me the following programs: Price List With one of the programs Alone above --------------------------------------------------------- ( ) Custom Handicapper $75 _________ ( ) Thoroughbred 4.5 $30 $20 _________ ( ) Harness Handicapper $30 $20 _________ ( ) Greyhound Handicapper $30 $20 _________ Total _________ Method of Payment: ( ) Check/M.O. ( ) Visa ( ) MasterCard Card No. ____________________________________ Exp. ___________ Signature _____________________________________ Type of Disk: ( ) 5.25" ( ) 3.5" Send to: Federal Hill Software 3722 Greenway Lane P.O. Box 765 Owings Mills, Md. 21117 410-356-5592 Note: We Accept Checks, Money Orders, Visa and Mastercard. Foreign orders should be made payable in U.S. funds. For Fastest Service Use Our Toll-Free Order Line: 1-800-846-4319 Cambridge Thoroughbred Handicapper 4 Page 32